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LU9DCE > NEWS 14.06.26 13:33l 502 Lines 17727 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 14-JUN
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332
WW 332 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 140235Z - 141000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 332
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 935 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...AN INTENSE BOWING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
NUMEROUS TO POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD.
PEAK GUSTS MAY REACH UP TO 70-80 MPH. AN EMBEDDED TORNADO OR TWO AND
ISOLATED HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST
OF BARTLESVILLE OK TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 327...WW 329...WW
330...WW 331...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
30040.
...GLEASON
READ MORE
========================================
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0332 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 332
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW MLC TO
25 NW MLC TO 25 WSW MKO TO 30 ENE MKO TO 15 SW FYV TO 25 SE FYV
TO 40 ESE FYV TO 30 S HRO TO 15 WSW FLP TO 10 N FLP.
..BROYLES..06/14/26
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 332
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC029-033-047-071-083-097-113-115-127-129-131-141-149-140940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONWAY CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
JOHNSON LOGAN MONTGOMERY
POLK POPE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN VAN BUREN
YELL
OKC061-077-079-091-101-121-135-140940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE PITTSBURG
SEQUOYAH
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
READ MORE
========================================
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 331 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0331 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GMJ
TO 5 SE UMN TO 25 N UMN TO 45 WNW TBN.
..BROYLES..06/14/26
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC009-029-043-059-077-109-167-209-213-225-140640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN
DALLAS GREENE LAWRENCE
POLK STONE TANEY
WEBSTER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
========================================
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN JUN 14 08:44:06 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN JUN 14 08:44:06 UTC
2026.
========================================
SPC JUN 14, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN
GEORGIA NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC VICINITY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES AREA.
...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD LARGE-SCALE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING BELT OF STRONG MIDLEVEL
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY REGION INTO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AT THE SAME TIME, A RELATED COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE REACHING THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
DURING THE AFTERNOON, FOCUSED WITHIN A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC SOUTHWARD INTO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. FROM ROUGHLY SOUTHERN/EASTERN VA SOUTHWARD, UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS AND STEEPENING BOUNDARY-LAYER LAPSE RATES
WILL YIELD A CORRIDOR OF STRONG SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY AHEAD OF
STORMS. DESPITE WEAKER DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LIMITED MIDLEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT, THE STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL
FAVOR EASTWARD-MOVING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION, STRONGER MIDLEVEL
WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR AMID
MODERATE SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT
SEVERAL LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF SCATTERED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. HERE, 30-PERCENT WIND PROBABILITIES REMAIN IN PLACE, AND
WHILE A LOCALLY HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY LONGER-LIVED CLUSTERS THAT MAY EVOLVE, THIS WILL BE LARGELY
DEPENDENT ON MESOSCALE FACTORS.
...UPPER OH VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
ALONG THE COLD FRONT, A BROKEN BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
STRONGER MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND AROUND 40 KT OF FRONT-PARALLEL
EFFECTIVE SHEAR SHOULD FAVOR A LINEAR MODE, WITH THE PRIMARY CONCERN
BEING STRONG-SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
ALONG THE TAIL-END OF A COMPOSITE COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS, WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE
AFTERNOON. GIVEN MOIST EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND 30-40 KT OF
EFFECTIVE SHEAR ALONG THE BOUNDARY, A COUPLE LOOSELY ORGANIZED
STORMS WILL POSE A RISK OF LOCALLY SEVERE GUSTS AND HAIL. ADDITIONAL
STORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN/CENTRAL TX TO THE ARKLATEX, THOUGH WEAKER DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
SHOULD LIMIT STORM LONGEVITY/ORGANIZATION HERE.
..WEINMAN/HALBERT.. 06/14/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC JUN 14, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
EASTERN NM...SOUTHEAST CO...AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES MAY RESULT IN SOME
SEVERE POTENTIAL AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ELSEWHERE, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE
GULF COAST STATES TO THE CAROLINAS, AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST.
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD, UPPER TROUGHING WILL ENVELOP MUCH OF THE CONUS FROM THE
ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST ON MONDAY. A SURFACE FRONT WILL BE
ORIENTED FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES AND INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST TX.
...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS IN SOUTHEAST
CO/EASTERN NM AND POSSIBLY AS FAR EAST AS WESTERN PARTS OF THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WEAK SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHILE
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW RESULTS IN MODEST NORTHWARD MOISTURE RETURN
WITHIN THE POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME. SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW INCREASING WITH HEIGHT AND BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY ABOVE 700 MB
WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR SOME STORM ORGANIZATION.
HIGH-BASED CONVECTION WILL POSE A RISK FOR STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS,
WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FORWARD PROPAGATING CLUSTER MOVING ACROSS
EASTERN NM TOWARD THE PANHANDLES VIA COLD POOL/OUTFLOW INTERACTIONS.
OVERALL MODEST SHEAR, WEAK INSTABILITY AND A LACK OF LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPMENT WILL LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL, THOUGH A COUPLE OF
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...
A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE ROTATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER
MIDWEST WITHIN BROADER UPPER TROUGHING WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A DRY AIRMASS.
SOME GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY, BUT A DEARTH OF
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE SEVERE
PROBABILITIES.
...SOUTHEAST...
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF
THE SOUTHWARD SAGGING SURFACE FRONT. POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT
STRONGER DESTABILIZATION, BUT A BELT OF 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN AL/GA INTO NORTHERN FL. THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTERS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS, BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED BY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, POOR LAPSE RATES,
AND LITTLE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT.
..LEITMAN.. 06/14/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC JUN 14, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MIDWEST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST.
...MIDWEST...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE MO VALLEY WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST ON TUESDAY. A STALLED SURFACE
FRONT ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION WILL SUPPRESS BOUNDARY-LAYER
MOISTURE ACROSS THE MIDWEST. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S AMID STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. THIS WILL SUPPORT MLCAPE UP TO 1500 J/KG ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MID-MS VALLEY TO LAKE MICHIGAN VICINITY. A WEAK
SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WI/LOWER MI AND A TRAILING
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS IL/IN AND VICINITY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUFFICIENT SHEAR
WILL EXIST FOR ORGANIZED STORMS, WITH 30-40 KT MIDLEVEL FLOW
DEPICTED IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS. GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH WITH EASTWARD EXTENT DUE TO
DECREASING BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAKENING INSTABILITY TOWARD
THE OHIO VALLEY.
..LEITMAN.. 06/14/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC JUN 14, 2026 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 171200Z - 221200Z
...DISCUSSION...
...DAY 4/WEDNESDAY -- MID-MS AND OHIO VALLEY VICINITY...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, AN
INTENSE JET STREAK (ESPECIALLY BY JUNE STANDARDS) IS FORECAST TO
OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST. THE ECMWF AND GFS SUITE OF
FORECAST GUIDANCE STILL IS INDICATING A 500 MB JET STREAK GREATER
THAN 80 KT OVERSPREADING THE REGION BY EVENING. FURTHERMORE, LOW AND
MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO BE QUITE STRONG, WITH A DAYTIME 850 MB
LOW-LEVEL JET AROUND 40-50 KT BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON.
AT THE SURFACE, LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY AND LOWER MI THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHWARD ACROSS IL AND PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY
THROUGH 00Z. MEANWHILE, A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE WARM SECTOR WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S, AND AREAS OF
STRONG DESTABILIZATION ARE EXPECTED. WHILE DETAILS CONCERNING
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION REMAIN UNCERTAIN, THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO A BOWING MCS
POSSIBLE BY EVENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND
SPREAD EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. ALL SEVERE HAZARDS APPEAR
LIKELY, WITH THE GREATEST RISK LIKELY EMERGING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER MO/MID-MS VALLEY WHERE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED. SOME SEVERE RISK WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE NIGHTTIME
HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY GIVEN INTENSE DEEP-LAYER FLOW
AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY.
SOME DETAILS WILL LIKELY CHANGE IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS AS THE TRACK
OF THE SURFACE LOW AND ORIENTATION OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK
ATOP THE DEVELOP SURFACE WARM SECTOR BECOME BETTER RESOLVED CLOSER
TO THE EVENT. THE RISK AREAS MAY SHIFT SOME AS THESE DETAILS BECOME
CLEARER.
...DAY 5/THURSDAY -- OHIO VALLEY TO MID-ATLANTIC...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES/NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY, WITH A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY JET STREAK
FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO NEW ENGLAND.
THE JET STREAK MAY TEND TO BECOME INCREASING DISPLACED FROM BETTER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/THERMODYNAMIC WITH TIME AND EASTWARD EXTENT
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS, A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD-ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND A SEVERE RISK
SHOULD UNFOLD ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC.
NORTHWARD EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK IS UNCERTAIN AS EARLY PERIOD
CONVECTION AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL MAY HINDER DESTABILIZATION. THE
BEST OVERLAP OF FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IS
DELINEATED BY THE 15 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FROM OH/KY INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC, WHERE DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
CONCERN.
...DAYS 6-8/FRIDAY-SUNDAY...
LARGE SPREAD AMONG MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE DURING THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD LEADS TO LOW PREDICTABILITY. THE SURFACE FRONT FROM
DAY 4/5 WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. AND PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. LATE IN THE
PERIOD, SOME SIGNAL FOR MOISTURE RETURN AND A DEEPENING LEE LOW OVER
THE PLAINS COULD BRING SOME INCREASING SEVERE RISK, BUT DETAILS
REMAIN UNCERTAIN.
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
INTO THE GREAT BASIN THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
A MOISTURE PLUME ORIGINATING FROM BAJA. PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT
OF 0.5-0.75 INCHES, DEEPLY-MIXED INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES,
AND LCL-EL MEAN WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 KTS WILL ALL CONTRIBUTE TO
MINIMAL DOWNDRAFT PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY WITH ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP. WITH ERC FUEL GUIDANCE SHOWING WIDESPREAD 80TH-95TH ANNUAL
PERCENTILES, LIGHTNING IGNITIONS AND ERRATIC DOWNDRAFT WINDS WILL
POSE FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS. WHILE THE TRANSITION FROM DRY-TO-WET
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR FURTHER SOUTH OF THE CURRENT OUTLOOK AREA,
SOME TRIMMING WAS DONE TO EXCLUDE AREAS THAT RECEIVED PRIOR-DAY
WETTING RAINFALL.
..HALBERT.. 06/14/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN WYOMING INTO NEBRASKA ON MONDAY, AS A DRY AND BREEZY
POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS PRODUCES 15-20 MPH WINDS WITH 15-20% RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ACROSS THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL OVERLAP WITH
GENERALLY CRITICAL FUELS, AS ERCS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
95TH-98TH PERCENTILE RANGE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
OVERALL COVERAGE AND DURATION OF ELEVATED CONDITIONS, SO EXPANSION
MAY OCCUR IN FUTURE UPDATES.
..HALBERT.. 06/14/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
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