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HP2DFA > STORM 08.09.26 03:04l 22 Lines 1689 Bytes #54 (0) @ WW
BID : 1686_HP2DFA
Read: GAST
Subj: 7 DAY TROPICAL OUTLOOK C. AMERICA SEP07
Path: DB0FFL<CS5NRA<CQ0PAX<GB7CAM<VE3KPG<VE2PKT<GB7BED<EI2GYB<PY2BIL<HP2DFA
Sent: 260908/0013Z 1686@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
The 7-day tropical outlook features an extremely active Eastern Pacific basin contrasted by a completely quiet Caribbean and North Atlantic side [NHC]. While multiple powerful systems dominate open Pacific waters, none pose a direct threat of landfall to Central America, though regional moisture levels will remain highly volatile [NHC].
The official 7-day outlook from the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC) highlights the following breakdown:
## 🌊 Caribbean Sea & North Atlantic (Vertiente del Caribe)
* Status: No tropical cyclone formation is expected over the next 7 days [NHC].
* Current Environment: Driven by strong El Niño conditions and elevated wind shear, storm development across the Atlantic and Caribbean is severely suppressed. The basin remains clear of depressions or hurricanes.
* Impact on Central America: The region remains free of cyclone threats. However, regular seasonal Easterly Waves (ondas tropicales) will continue to cross the basin, bringing typical afternoon showers and thunderstorms to the Caribbean coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.
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## ðŸ—ºï¸ Summary Table: 7-Day Cyclone Formation Probability
| Basin Region | Active Cyclones | 7-Day New Formation Potential | Direct Threat to Central America? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caribbean / Atlantic | None | 0aLow) | No (Only typical seasonal rain waves) |
| Eastern Pacific | Marie, Lowell, Karina | 40aMedium â€ö Offshore Mexico) | No Landfalls (Indirect moisture pull) |
Sistema de Monitoreo de Alertas Meteorologicas de Panama
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